American National Election Studies, 2004

Data Archive > U.S. Surveys > General Population > National > National Election Studies > Analysis


PRESTHNK

Who do you think will be elected President in November?
  1) John Kerry
  3) George W. Bush
  7) Other
  8) Don't know
  9) Refused

Category Frequency Percentage Cumulative Percentage Z-Score
John Kerry 341 28.1% 28.1% -1.04
George W. Bush 775 63.9% 92.1% .09
Other 1 .1% 92.2% 2.37
Don't know 93 7.7% 99.8% 2.94
Refused 2 .2% 100% 3.51

Variable Comparisons


Gender (I-GENDER)

Male Female TOTAL
John Kerry 29.2%
165
27.2%
176
28.1%
341
George W. Bush 64.8%
367
63.2%
408
63.9%
775
Other 0.0%
0
0.2%
1
0.1%
1
Don't know 6.0%
34
9.1%
59
7.7%
93
Refused 0.0%
0
0.3%
2
0.2%
2
TOTAL 100.0%
566
100.0%
646

1212


Age (I-AGE)

18-30 years 31-45 46-60 61+ TOTAL
John Kerry 40.2%
102
27.4%
87
24.6%
84
22.8%
68
28.1%
341
George W. Bush 53.1%
135
64.2%
204
68.7%
235
67.4%
201
63.9%
775
Other 0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.3%
1
0.0%
0
0.1%
1
Don't know 6.7%
17
8.5%
27
6.1%
21
9.4%
28
7.7%
93
Refused 0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.3%
1
0.3%
1
0.2%
2
TOTAL 100.0%
254
100.0%
318
100.0%
342
100.0%
298

1212


Religion (I-RELIGION)

Protestant Catholic Jewish Other TOTAL
John Kerry 18.8%
62
25.6%
55
23.3%
7
35.2%
80
25.4%
204
George W. Bush 73.6%
243
66.0%
142
63.3%
19
55.9%
127
66.2%
531
Other 0.3%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
1
Don't know 7.0%
23
8.4%
18
13.3%
4
8.4%
19
8.0%
64
Refused 0.3%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.4%
1
0.2%
2
TOTAL 100.0%
330
100.0%
215
100.0%
30
100.0%
227

802


Region (I-REGION)

Northeast North Central South West TOTAL
John Kerry 30.3%
66
27.4%
86
25.9%
108
30.8%
81
28.1%
341
George W. Bush 61.0%
133
62.1%
195
68.6%
286
61.2%
161
63.9%
775
Other 0.0%
0
0.3%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.1%
1
Don't know 8.7%
19
10.2%
32
5.0%
21
8.0%
21
7.7%
93
Refused 0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.5%
2
0.0%
0
0.2%
2
TOTAL 100.0%
218
100.0%
314
100.0%
417
100.0%
263

1212

Bookmark and Share