Presbyterian Panel Survey, February 2001 -- Presbyterians in the 21st Century, Members

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CHNGSIZE What changes, if any, do you think will occur in your congregation over the next 25-50 years in the size of membership?   1) An increase   2) A decrease   3) Little or no change   4) Not sure

Pie Chart Bar Chart Cumulative Bar Chart

Category	Frequency	Percentage	Cumulative Percentage	Z-Score
An increase	270	46.7%	46.7%	-.94
A decrease	86	14.9%	61.6%	-.03
Little or no change	154	26.6%	88.2%	.88
Not sure	68	11.8%	100%	1.79

Variable Comparisons

Age Gender Marital status Race Household income

Age (I-AGE)

	Less than 40	40-49	50-64	65+	TOTAL
An increase	45.5% 35	52.9% 54	51.7% 90	39.8% 86	46.6% 265
A decrease	18.2% 14	14.7% 15	8.0% 14	19.4% 42	14.9% 85
Little or no change	26.0% 20	21.6% 22	32.8% 57	25.5% 55	27.1% 154
Not sure	10.4% 8	10.8% 11	7.5% 13	15.3% 33	11.4% 65
TOTAL	100.0% 77	100.0% 102	100.0% 174	100.0% 216	569

Gender (I-GENDER)

	Female	Male	TOTAL
An increase	45.2% 157	48.6% 108	46.6% 265
A decrease	15.0% 52	14.9% 33	14.9% 85
Little or no change	25.9% 90	28.8% 64	27.1% 154
Not sure	13.8% 48	7.7% 17	11.4% 65
TOTAL	100.0% 347	100.0% 222	569

Marital status (I-MARITAL)

	Married	Not married	TOTAL
An increase	48.0% 212	44.1% 52	47.1% 264
A decrease	13.6% 60	17.8% 21	14.5% 81
Little or no change	26.9% 119	28.0% 33	27.1% 152
Not sure	11.5% 51	10.2% 12	11.3% 63
TOTAL	100.0% 442	100.0% 118	560

Race (I-RACE)

	White	African American	Asian	Hispanic	Some other race	TOTAL
An increase	46.3% 258	0.0% 0	80.0% 4	100.0% 1	50.0% 1	46.5% 264
A decrease	14.9% 83	33.3% 1	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	14.8% 84
Little or no change	27.1% 151	66.7% 2	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	50.0% 1	27.1% 154
Not sure	11.7% 65	0.0% 0	20.0% 1	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	11.6% 66
TOTAL	100.0% 557	100.0% 3	100.0% 5	100.0% 1	100.0% 2	568

Household income (I-INCOME)

	Less than 20,000	$20K-49,999	$50K-99,999	$100K+	TOTAL
An increase	31.6% 12	42.6% 66	50.2% 105	50.0% 62	46.6% 245
A decrease	26.3% 10	18.7% 29	15.3% 32	6.5% 8	15.0% 79
Little or no change	34.2% 13	23.9% 37	25.8% 54	30.6% 38	27.0% 142
Not sure	7.9% 3	14.8% 23	8.6% 18	12.9% 16	11.4% 60
TOTAL	100.0% 38	100.0% 155	100.0% 209	100.0% 124	526