Presbyterian Panel Survey, February 2001 -- Presbyterians in the 21st Century, Members

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CHPCSMLL By 2050, how likely are we to see this change in the PC(USA) nationally: Overall PC(USA) membership is much smaller because a large group will have split off to form a new denomination?   1) Very likely   2) Somewhat likely   3) Not very likely   4) Not at all likely   5) Not sure

Pie Chart Bar Chart Cumulative Bar Chart

Category	Frequency	Percentage	Cumulative Percentage	Z-Score
Very likely	34	5.8%	5.8%	-1.77
Somewhat likely	163	27.9%	33.7%	-.92
Not very likely	228	39%	72.8%	-.06
Not at all likely	43	7.4%	80.1%	.79
Not sure	116	19.9%	100%	1.64

Variable Comparisons

Age Gender Marital status Race Household income

Age (I-AGE)

	Less than 40	40-49	50-64	65+	TOTAL
Very likely	7.9% 6	6.9% 7	5.2% 9	5.4% 12	5.9% 34
Somewhat likely	11.8% 9	30.4% 31	27.0% 47	32.1% 72	27.6% 159
Not very likely	46.1% 35	32.4% 33	42.0% 73	37.9% 85	39.2% 226
Not at all likely	9.2% 7	7.8% 8	8.6% 15	5.4% 12	7.3% 42
Not sure	25.0% 19	22.5% 23	17.2% 30	19.2% 43	20.0% 115
TOTAL	100.0% 76	100.0% 102	100.0% 174	100.0% 224	576

Gender (I-GENDER)

	Female	Male	TOTAL
Very likely	5.2% 18	7.0% 16	5.9% 34
Somewhat likely	25.9% 90	30.3% 69	27.6% 159
Not very likely	37.6% 131	41.7% 95	39.2% 226
Not at all likely	8.6% 30	5.3% 12	7.3% 42
Not sure	22.7% 79	15.8% 36	20.0% 115
TOTAL	100.0% 348	100.0% 228	576

Marital status (I-MARITAL)

	Married	Not married	TOTAL
Very likely	7.2% 32	1.7% 2	6.0% 34
Somewhat likely	28.2% 126	24.2% 29	27.3% 155
Not very likely	38.9% 174	41.7% 50	39.5% 224
Not at all likely	6.7% 30	10.0% 12	7.4% 42
Not sure	19.0% 85	22.5% 27	19.8% 112
TOTAL	100.0% 447	100.0% 120	567

Race (I-RACE)

	White	African American	Asian	Hispanic	Some other race	TOTAL
Very likely	5.9% 33	33.3% 1	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	5.9% 34
Somewhat likely	27.8% 157	0.0% 0	40.0% 2	100.0% 1	0.0% 0	27.8% 160
Not very likely	39.4% 222	33.3% 1	20.0% 1	0.0% 0	50.0% 1	39.1% 225
Not at all likely	7.1% 40	0.0% 0	20.0% 1	0.0% 0	50.0% 1	7.3% 42
Not sure	19.9% 112	33.3% 1	20.0% 1	0.0% 0	0.0% 0	19.8% 114
TOTAL	100.0% 564	100.0% 3	100.0% 5	100.0% 1	100.0% 2	575

Household income (I-INCOME)

	Less than 20,000	$20K-49,999	$50K-99,999	$100K+	TOTAL
Very likely	5.0% 2	5.7% 9	5.2% 11	4.9% 6	5.3% 28
Somewhat likely	35.0% 14	26.1% 41	28.1% 59	26.8% 33	27.7% 147
Not very likely	30.0% 12	43.9% 69	40.0% 84	39.8% 49	40.4% 214
Not at all likely	10.0% 4	6.4% 10	6.7% 14	8.1% 10	7.2% 38
Not sure	20.0% 8	17.8% 28	20.0% 42	20.3% 25	19.4% 103
TOTAL	100.0% 40	100.0% 157	100.0% 210	100.0% 123	530