Religion and Public Life Survey, 2008

Data Archive > U.S. Surveys > General Population > National > Pew Research Center > Analysis


SWING08

(Percentages are weighted by WEIGHT; Total Ns reported are unweighted)

Vote preference in 2008 (See Note 5: SWING08 Codes on the ARDA Summary Page for explanation of coding) (SWING)
  1) McCain - No chance Obama
  2) Obama - No chance McCain
  3) McCain - Lean McCain, chance Obama
  4) Obama - Lean Obama, chance McCain
  5) Undecided

Category Percentage Cumulative Percentage
McCain - No chance Obama 32% 32%
Obama - No chance McCain 34.6% 66.6%
McCain - Lean McCain, chance Obama 11.3% 77.9%
Obama - Lean Obama, chance McCain 11.8% 89.7%
Undecided 10.3% 100%
Total N = 2414

Variable Comparisons

Age (I-AGE)

18-29 30-44 45-59 60-74 75+ TOTAL
McCain - No chance Obama 24.7% 28.4% 33.8% 39.5% 33.5% 32.0%
Obama - No chance McCain 39.1% 39.0% 32.5% 31.1% 30.8% 34.9%
McCain - Lean McCain, chance Obama 9.2% 12.5% 12.4% 9.1% 11.0% 11.2%
Obama - Lean Obama, chance McCain 18.4% 11.0% 10.1% 10.3% 10.4% 11.7%
Undecided 8.6% 9.1% 11.2% 10.0% 14.3% 10.3%
TOTAL 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2373


Worship attendance (I-ATTEND)

More than once a week Once a week Once or twice a month A few times a year Seldom Never TOTAL
McCain - No chance Obama 44.4% 37.4% 29.0% 25.7% 26.6% 24.8% 32.1%
Obama - No chance McCain 28.0% 31.7% 35.2% 35.9% 38.2% 45.1% 34.7%
McCain - Lean McCain, chance Obama 11.5% 10.9% 11.2% 13.9% 11.8% 5.8% 11.3%
Obama - Lean Obama, chance McCain 8.6% 11.1% 13.1% 13.0% 13.2% 12.1% 11.8%
Undecided 7.6% 8.9% 11.5% 11.5% 10.2% 12.1% 10.1%
TOTAL 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2388


Education (I-EDUC)

Less than high school diploma High school graduate (grade 12 or GED certificate) Business, technical or vocational school AFTER high school or some college (no four-year degree) College graduate (B.S., B.A., or other four-year degree) Post-graduate training or professional schooling after college TOTAL
McCain - No chance Obama 28.3% 32.9% 35.3% 31.0% 28.1% 32.1%
Obama - No chance McCain 39.9% 32.3% 33.3% 33.8% 42.0% 34.8%
McCain - Lean McCain, chance Obama 10.8% 11.1% 9.9% 12.3% 12.8% 11.2%
Obama - Lean Obama, chance McCain 11.2% 10.9% 12.6% 13.0% 10.2% 11.7%
Undecided 9.9% 12.8% 9.0% 9.9% 6.9% 10.3%
TOTAL 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2389


Household income (I-INCOME)

Less than $20,000 $20,000 to under $30,000 $30,000 to under $50,000 $50,000 to under $75,000 $75,000 to under $100,000 $100,000 or more TOTAL
McCain - No chance Obama 25.8% 28.6% 29.3% 36.3% 36.4% 37.7% 32.5%
Obama - No chance McCain 44.1% 38.1% 33.5% 34.9% 34.8% 30.2% 35.6%
McCain - Lean McCain, chance Obama 6.9% 10.8% 11.0% 10.8% 14.0% 14.5% 11.3%
Obama - Lean Obama, chance McCain 10.8% 11.3% 14.7% 12.4% 10.2% 10.3% 11.8%
Undecided 12.3% 11.3% 11.5% 5.6% 4.5% 7.2% 8.8%
TOTAL 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2128


Political ideology (I-POLITICS)

Very conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal or very liberal TOTAL
McCain - No chance Obama 48.5% 46.7% 24.8% 8.3% 32.8%
Obama - No chance McCain 23.0% 21.5% 34.2% 66.4% 34.8%
McCain - Lean McCain, chance Obama 11.3% 10.2% 14.1% 4.4% 10.3%
Obama - Lean Obama, chance McCain 6.9% 10.2% 17.2% 13.1% 12.2%
Undecided 10.3% 11.3% 9.7% 7.9% 10.0%
TOTAL 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1186


Religion (I-RELIGION)

Protestant Roman Catholic Other or Jewish None TOTAL
McCain - No chance Obama 37.4% 31.5% 26.7% 21.2% 32.3%
Obama - No chance McCain 31.2% 32.0% 42.6% 42.9% 34.6%
McCain - Lean McCain, chance Obama 12.6% 10.9% 11.1% 5.9% 11.1%
Obama - Lean Obama, chance McCain 9.4% 14.5% 11.7% 16.5% 11.9%
Undecided 9.4% 11.1% 7.8% 13.6% 10.1%
TOTAL 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2345


Sex (I-SEX)

Male Female TOTAL
McCain - No chance Obama 35.2% 29.2% 32.0%
Obama - No chance McCain 30.4% 38.4% 34.6%
McCain - Lean McCain, chance Obama 13.5% 9.4% 11.3%
Obama - Lean Obama, chance McCain 10.9% 12.5% 11.8%
Undecided 10.0% 10.6% 10.3%
TOTAL 100.0% 100.0%
2414



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